Trump can win in 2020 but it will not be easy

Yes, President Trump can win in 2020 but his reelection will not be easy. In fact, I think next year’s presidential election will be closer, nastier, and harder fought than most people expect.

Notably, the last two presidential elections were close. For instance, Barack Obama (D-Illinois) beat Mitt Romney (R-Massachusetts) by 2.3% of the popular vote in 2012, Slate estimates. In detail, Romney won 48.1% of the popular vote and Obama 50.4%.

However, Obama won an impressive victory in the Electoral College with 332 votes to Romney’s 206, 270 to Win calculates. Thus, Obama won big on paper but not on the ground.

Yes, the 2020 Election will be Close

In 2016, the situation was reversed with Hillary R. Clinton (D-New York) winning a decisive majority of the popular vote but losing the Electoral College. However, Trump won the Electoral College vote with an impressive majority of 306 to 232 votes.

Specifically, Clinton won a clear majority of the popular vote but only 232 electoral votes, The Washington Post calculates. However, many of Trump’s Electoral College wins were close. Given this history, the 2020 election will be a close one.

I think Trump’s lack of popularity, and the inability of Democratic candidates to catch…