Who is Winning the Democratic Presidential Primary? — Market Mad House

Telling who is winning the Democratic Presidential Primary is hard because the polls diverge.

First, the August 2019 Emerson Poll has former Vice President Joe Biden (D-Delaware). However, Biden’s lead is tenuous because Emerson estimates only 31% of Democrats support him.

However, the August 2019 Monmouth University Poll has Biden with U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-Massachusetts) at 20%. In contrast, Emerson places Warren third at 15%.

Interestingly, Monmouth breaks the polling down into early voting states and other states. In the early voting states, Warren and Biden tie for the lead at 20%, while U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders (I-Vermont) is third at 16%.

In the other states, Sanders leads at 23%, while Warren is second at 23% and Biden is third at 17%. Moreover, in the other states, the early favorite Kamala Harris (California) is at 5% but Harris is at 12% in early voting states.

Poll shows why Biden will Loose

So which of these polls is correct? In my estimation, both polls are correct but they measure different data.

To clarify, the Monmouth University Poll breaks down voters by state. In contrast, the Emerson Poll is an accurate measure of…